Rams Vs. Falcons 11/21/10
The St. Louis Rams look to step it up against the Falcons.
Atlanta Falcons (7-2) at St. Louis Rams (4-5)
NFL Football: Sunday November 21, 2010 4:05 PM EST
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Two of the most improved teams in the NFL meet up as the St. Louis Rams host the Atlanta Falcons.
The St. Louis Rams are used to drafting at the top of the NFL draft order but they have parlayed most of those picks into quality football players and the results are being shown on the field. While the Rams still may have some building to do, they aren’t as far as they were at this point last season. The only thing that is separating the Rams and a winning record thus far is an overtime loss last week to San Francisco. Sam Bradford is going through the learning process of being an NFL QB but despite having the 30th ranked scoring offense in the NFL, Bradford isn’t costing his team games. For the season Bradford has completed 60.2 percent of his passes for 1,925 yards and 12 touchdowns with eight interceptions. Stephen Jackson has rushed for 757 yards and three touchdowns as he continues to try and carry the team on his back. Danny Amendola has 52 catches for 430 yards and three touchdowns and Brandon Gibson has 26 catches for 300 yards. The Rams defense is improving as James Lauinaitis has 59 tackles and three sacks and Craig Dahl has 51. James Hall has seven and a half sacks while former first rounder Chris Long has five and a half. Oshiomogho Atogwe, Bradley Fletcher, and James Butler all have two interceptions as the Rams have eight on the season. St. Louis is averaging 17.8 points and 305.9 yards per game and the defense is allowing 18.2 points and 325.8 yards per game.
The Atlanta Falcons missed the playoffs last season despite putting together the first back to back winning seasons in franchise history and they look like a team determined to get back this season. The Falcons lead the very competitive NFC South by a game over the New Orleans Saints and Tampa Bay Buccaneers despite playing a tough schedule. Matt Ryan is proving to simply be a winner as he’s completed 62.7 percent of his passes for 2,265 yards and 16 touchdowns and just five interceptions. Michael Turner has rushed for 733 yards, many of them tough yards while grinding out five touchdowns. Roddy White is proving to be an elite receiver with 70 catches for 934 yards and seven touchdowns and last week against the Ravens he caught the game winner in the waning minutes after making two uncharacteristic drops. Tony Gonzalez still has something left in the tank as he’s caught 41 passes for 402 yards and three touchdowns. Curtis Lofton has 73 tackles and two sacks while Stephen Nicholas has 50 tackles as they lead the team. John Abraham has eight sacks as Atlanta has 18 as a team. The Falcon secondary has been ball hawks with 14 interceptions including three each by William Moore and Brent Grimes. For the season Atlanta is averaging 24.7 points and 369.2 yards per game while the defense is allowing 19.4 points and 343.4 yards per game.
St. Louis is 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games as an underdog, 5-1 against the spread in their last six games against the NFC, and 4-1 against the spread in theri last five against a team with a winning record. Atlanta is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games against a team with a losing record, 5-2 against the spread in their last seven road games, and 9-4 against the spread in their last 13 games overall. The favorite has covered six of the last seven meetings and the home team has covered five of the last six.
This line looks like a trap and a sucker bet as the odds makers look to be begging us to take the Falcons as we just saw them beat the Ravens last Thursday so they are coming off extended rest and look like a sure playoff team who is facing a middle of the road team who is probably a year away. We can’t be scared away by the prospect of the trap but we can tread lightly and I think this one falls into the damned if we do, damned if we don’t category.
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